nikos

Karma: 647

[LW xpost] Unit economics of LLM APIs

dschwarz27 Aug 2024 16:55 UTC

19 points

2 comments1 min readEA link

(www.lesswrong.com)

A breakdown of OpenAI’s revenue

dschwarz10 Jul 2024 18:07 UTC

58 points

8 comments1 min readEA link

Mirror, Mirror on the Wall: How Do Forecasters Fare by Their Own Call?

nikos7 Nov 2023 17:37 UTC

20 points

0 comments14 min readEA link

Comparing Two Forecasters in an Ideal World

nikos9 Oct 2023 20:06 UTC

16 points

6 comments6 min readEA link

Analysing Individual Contributions to the Metaculus Community Prediction

nikos8 May 2023 22:58 UTC

28 points

1 comment12 min readEA link

Wisdom of the Crowd vs. “the Best of the Best of the Best”

nikos4 Apr 2023 15:32 UTC

101 points

11 comments12 min readEA link

[Question] Predictive Performance on Metaculus vs. Manifold Markets

nikos3 Mar 2023 19:39 UTC

111 points

8 comments5 min readEA link

More Is Probably More—Forecasting Accuracy and Number of Forecasters on Metaculus

nikos31 Jan 2023 17:20 UTC

36 points

11 comments10 min readEA link

Reflections on Wytham Abbey

nikos10 Jan 2023 18:30 UTC

82 points

51 comments4 min readEA link

Creating a database for base rates

nikos12 Dec 2022 10:05 UTC

74 points

7 comments3 min readEA link

[Cause Exploration Prizes] Training experts to be forecasters

Sam Abbott26 Aug 2022 9:52 UTC

49 points

9 comments12 min readEA link

Announcing the Forecasting Wiki

nikos15 Apr 2022 9:53 UTC

23 points

4 comments1 min readEA link

A Twitter bot that tweets high impact jobs

nikos26 Jul 2021 10:16 UTC

12 points

4 comments1 min readEA link

A Twitter Bot that regularly tweets current top posts from the EA Forum

nikos25 Jul 2021 9:15 UTC

18 points

7 comments1 min readEA link

Announcing the UK Covid-19 Crowd Forecasting Challenge

nikos17 May 2021 19:28 UTC

7 points

0 comments2 min readEA link