tcelferact

We Should Be Warier of Overconfidence

A one-sen­tence for­mu­la­tion of the AI X-Risk ar­gu­ment I try to make

Look­ing for Cana­dian sum­mer co-op po­si­tion in AI Governance

Prior X%—<1%: A quan­tified ‘epistemic sta­tus’ of your pre­dic­tion.

A re­quest to keep pes­simistic AI posts ac­tion­able.

‘AI Emer­gency Eject Cri­te­ria’ Survey

An ‘AGI Emer­gency Eject Cri­te­ria’ con­sen­sus could be re­ally use­ful.

We might get lucky with AGI warn­ing shots. Let’s be ready!

Selec­tive truth-tel­ling: con­cerns about EA lead­er­ship com­mu­ni­ca­tion.

Struc­tur­ing new char­i­ties (even more) like tech star­tups

Why say ‘longter­mism’ and not just ‘ex­tinc­tion risk’?

EA Un­der­val­ues Unseen Data

[Question] Ca­reer Ad­vice: Philos­o­phy + Pro­gram­ming → AI Safety

[Question] Philos­o­phy PhD Ap­pli­ca­tion: Ad­vice on Writ­ten Submission

Curve­ball Alert Re­quest: How has your job changed over time?

[Question] What ar­eas of maths are use­ful across dis­ci­plines?