I personally don’t think we can replace fossils with renewables at scale, for reasons explained in the post (renewables have worse properties than storable, dense liquid oil, and there’s not enough metals to build everything).
Anyway, I think we’ll have more news on that front seeing how we fare in the next winters with the current energy crisis.
It’s worth pointing out that the IEA is actually most famous for almost always underestimating renewable energy uptake. So if even they think fossil fuels are on the way out, I’m inclined to think they’re right.
I personally don’t think we can replace fossils with renewables at scale, for reasons explained in the post (renewables have worse properties than storable, dense liquid oil, and there’s not enough metals to build everything).
Anyway, I think we’ll have more news on that front seeing how we fare in the next winters with the current energy crisis.
It’s worth pointing out that the IEA is actually most famous for almost always underestimating renewable energy uptake. So if even they think fossil fuels are on the way out, I’m inclined to think they’re right.