I think I agree with the religious comparison- they do seem similar to me and I liked that part of your post. I just think failed apocalyptic predictions don’t give that much evidence that we can discount future apocalyptic predictions.
Religious apocalypses are maybe a little different because I think (but don’t know) that most people who predict the end of the world via God are claiming that all possible worlds end, not just predicting an event that will normally occur.
I mostly think anthropic reasoning is good (but there is a voice in my head telling me I’m crazy whenever I try to apply it).
I’ll re-word my comment to clarify the part re: “the dangers of anthropic reasoning”. I always forget if “anthropic” gets applied to not conditioning on existence and making claims, or the claim that we need to condition on existence when making claims.
Hey Ryan,
I think I agree with the religious comparison- they do seem similar to me and I liked that part of your post. I just think failed apocalyptic predictions don’t give that much evidence that we can discount future apocalyptic predictions.
Religious apocalypses are maybe a little different because I think (but don’t know) that most people who predict the end of the world via God are claiming that all possible worlds end, not just predicting an event that will normally occur.
I mostly think anthropic reasoning is good (but there is a voice in my head telling me I’m crazy whenever I try to apply it).
I’ll re-word my comment to clarify the part re: “the dangers of anthropic reasoning”. I always forget if “anthropic” gets applied to not conditioning on existence and making claims, or the claim that we need to condition on existence when making claims.