In order to think vote trading is a good idea, you have to think that, with some reasonable amount of work, you can predict the better candidate at a rate which outperforms chance.
Humility is important, but there’s a difference between “politics is hard to predict perfectly” and “politics is impossible predict at all”.
there’s a difference between “politics is hard to predict perfectly” and “politics is impossible predict at all”.
I think there’s a lot of improvement to be had in the area of “refining which direction we are pushing in”.
Was there ever a well-prosecuted debate about whether EA should support Clinton over Trump, or did we just sort of stumble into it because the correct side is so obvious?
In order to think vote trading is a good idea, you have to think that, with some reasonable amount of work, you can predict the better candidate at a rate which outperforms chance.
Humility is important, but there’s a difference between “politics is hard to predict perfectly” and “politics is impossible predict at all”.
I think there’s a lot of improvement to be had in the area of “refining which direction we are pushing in”.
Was there ever a well-prosecuted debate about whether EA should support Clinton over Trump, or did we just sort of stumble into it because the correct side is so obvious?