We should distinguish between EA Outreach the organization and EA outreach the activity. I agree that the activity of EA outreach is very likely to be valuable, but I agree with Josh that EA Outreach the organization may not be effective despite this.
Unfortunately we’re not in a great position to know the counterfactuals on people added to the movement from our activity. Upper bound on new EAs added through EA Global is 110 people. I expect the actual number to be lower but I’m not sure by how much.
We also sold 17,000 books so far, but we don’t know the conversion rate from books to becoming involved in the EA community and we don’t know how many counterfactual sales we were responsible for.
In terms of the long-term potential of the movement, I feel quite confident defending that our 2016 plan will put the EA movement in a much better position in the future.
We should distinguish between EA Outreach the organization and EA outreach the activity. I agree that the activity of EA outreach is very likely to be valuable, but I agree with Josh that EA Outreach the organization may not be effective despite this.
Unfortunately we’re not in a great position to know the counterfactuals on people added to the movement from our activity. Upper bound on new EAs added through EA Global is 110 people. I expect the actual number to be lower but I’m not sure by how much.
We also sold 17,000 books so far, but we don’t know the conversion rate from books to becoming involved in the EA community and we don’t know how many counterfactual sales we were responsible for.
In terms of the long-term potential of the movement, I feel quite confident defending that our 2016 plan will put the EA movement in a much better position in the future.