A forecast from Swift Center: https://www.swiftcentre.org/will-russia-use-a-nuclear-weapon/
Upd: seems important to note that we have an overlap of ~2 forecasters, I think.
Another follow-up forecast from Swift: https://www.swiftcentre.org/what-would-be-the-consequences-of-a-nuclear-weapon-being-used-in-the-russia-ukraine-war/
A forecast from Swift Center: https://www.swiftcentre.org/will-russia-use-a-nuclear-weapon/
Upd: seems important to note that we have an overlap of ~2 forecasters, I think.
Another follow-up forecast from Swift: https://www.swiftcentre.org/what-would-be-the-consequences-of-a-nuclear-weapon-being-used-in-the-russia-ukraine-war/