Are you willing to share your views Ben of whether a longtermist should donate to a top biorisk organization (i.e. Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security) versus a top AI safety organization (i.e. the Centre for Human Compatible AI)?
Both of the sample organizations I mentioned above are recommended by Founders Pledge, although I don’t know how much to trust their recommendations in the x-risk space (I have read more about their research into climate change than x-risk organizations).
Given that Toby Ord thinks that the chance of an existential catastrophe from unaligned AI is 10% and from biorisk is 3.33%, then I might reasonably conclude that as long as CHAI is not 3x worse than JHU CHS, it would be more effective to donate to CHAI. I’m not sure how to trade off the efforts of organizations between those two spaces though, or if people should even do that—maybe it’s just robustly good to donate to either, and that there’s not much point trading off between the two causes. What do you think?
We’re somewhat more keen to see additional resources on AI safety compared to GCBRs, but the difference seems fairly narrow, so we’re keen to see people take unusually good opportunities to help reduce GCBRs (or to work on it if they have better personal fit). More here: https://80000hours.org/problem-profiles/global-catastrophic-biological-risks/
Are you willing to share your views Ben of whether a longtermist should donate to a top biorisk organization (i.e. Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security) versus a top AI safety organization (i.e. the Centre for Human Compatible AI)?
Both of the sample organizations I mentioned above are recommended by Founders Pledge, although I don’t know how much to trust their recommendations in the x-risk space (I have read more about their research into climate change than x-risk organizations).
Given that Toby Ord thinks that the chance of an existential catastrophe from unaligned AI is 10% and from biorisk is 3.33%, then I might reasonably conclude that as long as CHAI is not 3x worse than JHU CHS, it would be more effective to donate to CHAI. I’m not sure how to trade off the efforts of organizations between those two spaces though, or if people should even do that—maybe it’s just robustly good to donate to either, and that there’s not much point trading off between the two causes. What do you think?
Hey Brian,
We’re somewhat more keen to see additional resources on AI safety compared to GCBRs, but the difference seems fairly narrow, so we’re keen to see people take unusually good opportunities to help reduce GCBRs (or to work on it if they have better personal fit). More here: https://80000hours.org/problem-profiles/global-catastrophic-biological-risks/