This is a fake, made-up number that massively overestimates the effects of child poverty by ignoring the huge genetic confounding that accounts for a very substantial part of the correlation between child poverty experience and worse adult outcomes.
Hold up. That $1T number originated from this peer-reviewed study that I cited. I’d be happy to see your strong evidence that the $1T number is overblown, or perhaps even off by 10X. The goal here is to be less wrong.
But this is the EA forum, my friend. You can’t just claim something’s “a fake, made-up number” without any evidence. Especially when that source is a peer-reviewed academic study.
ignoring the huge genetic confounding that accounts for a very substantial part of the correlation between child poverty experience and worse adult outcomes.
If anything, this seems to me like an extremely dubious claim. The idea that ‘genetic confounding’ has anything to do with why impoverished childhood experiences lead to worse adult outcomes absolutely needs a strong RTC Study cited. Actually, it would need several gold-standard studies and a meta-review.
At first glance, ‘genetic confounding’ (especially in the context of poverty) also seems like a slippery slope to the idea that poor people are poor because there is something wrong with them, ignoring the multitude of ways the cards are stacked against them.
However, I’d really like to give you the benefit of the doubt. What were you trying to get at?
This is a fake, made-up number that massively overestimates the effects of child poverty by ignoring the huge genetic confounding that accounts for a very substantial part of the correlation between child poverty experience and worse adult outcomes.
Hold up. That $1T number originated from this peer-reviewed study that I cited. I’d be happy to see your strong evidence that the $1T number is overblown, or perhaps even off by 10X. The goal here is to be less wrong.
But this is the EA forum, my friend. You can’t just claim something’s “a fake, made-up number” without any evidence. Especially when that source is a peer-reviewed academic study.
If anything, this seems to me like an extremely dubious claim. The idea that ‘genetic confounding’ has anything to do with why impoverished childhood experiences lead to worse adult outcomes absolutely needs a strong RTC Study cited. Actually, it would need several gold-standard studies and a meta-review.
At first glance, ‘genetic confounding’ (especially in the context of poverty) also seems like a slippery slope to the idea that poor people are poor because there is something wrong with them, ignoring the multitude of ways the cards are stacked against them.
However, I’d really like to give you the benefit of the doubt. What were you trying to get at?
Cite your sources, this isn’t Twitter.
Approach disagreements with curiosity