It feels very plausible to me that “many people know about biorisk thread models” is the most important lever to impact biorisk. I’ve heard that many state bioweapons programs were started because states found out that other states thought bioweapons were powerful. If mere rumors caused them to invest millions in bioweapons, then preventing those rumors would have been an immensely powerful intervention, and preventing further such rumors is critically important.
It feels very plausible to me that “many people know about biorisk thread models” is the most important lever to impact biorisk. I’ve heard that many state bioweapons programs were started because states found out that other states thought bioweapons were powerful. If mere rumors caused them to invest millions in bioweapons, then preventing those rumors would have been an immensely powerful intervention, and preventing further such rumors is critically important.