As a side-note: In case of the Bay area, I’d expect some funding-displacement effects. BERI grant-making is strongly correlated with geography and historically BERI funded some things which could be classified as community building. LTFF is also somewhat Bay-centric, and also there seem to be some LTFF grants which could be hypothetically funded by several orgs. Also some things were likely funded informally by local philantrophists.
To make the model more realistic one should note
there is some underlying distribution of “worthy things to fund”
some of the good projects could be likely funded from multiple sources; all other things being equal, I would expect the funding to come more likely from the nearest source
As a side-note: In case of the Bay area, I’d expect some funding-displacement effects. BERI grant-making is strongly correlated with geography and historically BERI funded some things which could be classified as community building. LTFF is also somewhat Bay-centric, and also there seem to be some LTFF grants which could be hypothetically funded by several orgs. Also some things were likely funded informally by local philantrophists.
To make the model more realistic one should note
there is some underlying distribution of “worthy things to fund”
some of the good projects could be likely funded from multiple sources; all other things being equal, I would expect the funding to come more likely from the nearest source