I’m not really sure what he thinks the probability of the singularity before 2100 is. My reading was that he probably doesn’t think that given his tests, the singularity is (eg) >10% likely before 2100. 2 of the 7 tests suggest the singularity after 100 years and 5 of them fail. It might be worth someone asking him for his view on that
Thanks for outlining the tests.
I’m not really sure what he thinks the probability of the singularity before 2100 is. My reading was that he probably doesn’t think that given his tests, the singularity is (eg) >10% likely before 2100. 2 of the 7 tests suggest the singularity after 100 years and 5 of them fail. It might be worth someone asking him for his view on that