I think politics can seem very opaque, incomprehensible, and lacking clear positive payoffs but after volunteering, studying, and working on campaigns for a few years, I think it’s more simple but difficult.
I think politics is an area where there are a lot of entrenched ways of doing things as well as a lot of pitfalls that often require experience to navigate well. And even then, the chance of failure is still high. A moment’s slip up or bad assumptions or a random event can undermine months or years of work. This doesn’t happen as often in other areas.
For animal welfare, I think the outcomes show that it’s something people are more willing to vote for than pay for, so I think ballot initiatives are generally a good route to try out. I think the pork industry challenge to the MA law is pretty weak, but even if the initiative is struck down, it was probably good to try and see if it worked, and that may still open up some new opportunity. Winning by a large margin is good in that it may discourage special interests from trying to run a counter ballot initiative next time to repeal it.
I think it’s important not to become naive about anyone elected to office. Just because they have a similar background to you, say things you agree with, or belong to a group you like doesn’t mean they’re going to actually do good things or that the things they do are good. Just because they seem right about one or even many topics doesn’t mean they know what they are doing on other topics.
Politics is about coalition building and that often means various kinds of deal making. This is not for everyone, and not every deal is good or even necessarily clearly good or bad. It also involves constant tradeoffs and high uncertainty that will often make a lot of people unhappy.
Politicians spend most of their careers fundraising—even when in office—and not nearly enough time talking to groups of their constituents that represent the diversity of experiences in their districts. This means a lot of popular ideas get ignored, some of which are good and others which are maybe not. Being a good representative means knowing when, how, and how much to defer to people.
A moment’s slip up or bad assumptions or a random event can undermine months or years of work. This doesn’t happen as often in other areas.
In addition to blowback, there’s also the risk of getting entangled into specific political factions and then tanking with them, or even having blame deliberately passed to EA associates because they’re vulnerable and/or make for a convenient villain.
These people are essentially armies of lawyers (sometimes literally) and they have developed substantial cost effectiveness at selecting targets and spinning narratives, and they often randomly run into hurdles that incentivize them to think up all sorts of ways to cut their losses.
Yeah there are a lot of “fairweather friends” in politics who won’t feel inclined to return any favors when it matters most. The opposite of that is having a committed constituency that votes enough in elections to not be worth upsetting—aka a base of people power. These take serious effort to create and not all groups are distributed geographically the same way so some have more/easier influence than others. One reason the NRA is so powerful and not abandoned despite negative media coverage is that they have tight relationships with Republican politicians and they turn out big time in any primary where someone opposes them or something they want. It’s not so much about the campaign contributions as far as I can tell (other groups spend far more and are much less influential) though campaign contributions are certainly a part of their system of carrots and sticks.
The lack of more broad participation in primaries is a problem for represenation and responsive good government. It’s an opportunity for groups that aren’t all that representative to magnify their influence. Alaska’s top 4 primary election seems like a step in the right direction since it opens up primaries to more voters and then lets voters rank the top 4 candidates in November. It increases the chances that someone can try to run and win as a more representative candidate instead of being filtered out by small, highly partisan groups.
It’s often easier to stick to established narratives, group identifiers, and allies, or even make up new conspiracies than to be measured and nuanced. Something inflamatory and/or conspiratorial is more likely to hook into human brains, be amplified by engagement seeking algorithms, and, if it’s obscure but rapidly repeated, not have any better sources of information competing with it when people look up its key words.
I think politics can seem very opaque, incomprehensible, and lacking clear positive payoffs but after volunteering, studying, and working on campaigns for a few years, I think it’s more simple but difficult.
I think politics is an area where there are a lot of entrenched ways of doing things as well as a lot of pitfalls that often require experience to navigate well. And even then, the chance of failure is still high. A moment’s slip up or bad assumptions or a random event can undermine months or years of work. This doesn’t happen as often in other areas.
For animal welfare, I think the outcomes show that it’s something people are more willing to vote for than pay for, so I think ballot initiatives are generally a good route to try out. I think the pork industry challenge to the MA law is pretty weak, but even if the initiative is struck down, it was probably good to try and see if it worked, and that may still open up some new opportunity. Winning by a large margin is good in that it may discourage special interests from trying to run a counter ballot initiative next time to repeal it.
I think it’s important not to become naive about anyone elected to office. Just because they have a similar background to you, say things you agree with, or belong to a group you like doesn’t mean they’re going to actually do good things or that the things they do are good. Just because they seem right about one or even many topics doesn’t mean they know what they are doing on other topics.
Politics is about coalition building and that often means various kinds of deal making. This is not for everyone, and not every deal is good or even necessarily clearly good or bad. It also involves constant tradeoffs and high uncertainty that will often make a lot of people unhappy.
Politicians spend most of their careers fundraising—even when in office—and not nearly enough time talking to groups of their constituents that represent the diversity of experiences in their districts. This means a lot of popular ideas get ignored, some of which are good and others which are maybe not. Being a good representative means knowing when, how, and how much to defer to people.
In addition to blowback, there’s also the risk of getting entangled into specific political factions and then tanking with them, or even having blame deliberately passed to EA associates because they’re vulnerable and/or make for a convenient villain.
These people are essentially armies of lawyers (sometimes literally) and they have developed substantial cost effectiveness at selecting targets and spinning narratives, and they often randomly run into hurdles that incentivize them to think up all sorts of ways to cut their losses.
Yeah there are a lot of “fairweather friends” in politics who won’t feel inclined to return any favors when it matters most. The opposite of that is having a committed constituency that votes enough in elections to not be worth upsetting—aka a base of people power. These take serious effort to create and not all groups are distributed geographically the same way so some have more/easier influence than others. One reason the NRA is so powerful and not abandoned despite negative media coverage is that they have tight relationships with Republican politicians and they turn out big time in any primary where someone opposes them or something they want. It’s not so much about the campaign contributions as far as I can tell (other groups spend far more and are much less influential) though campaign contributions are certainly a part of their system of carrots and sticks.
The lack of more broad participation in primaries is a problem for represenation and responsive good government. It’s an opportunity for groups that aren’t all that representative to magnify their influence. Alaska’s top 4 primary election seems like a step in the right direction since it opens up primaries to more voters and then lets voters rank the top 4 candidates in November. It increases the chances that someone can try to run and win as a more representative candidate instead of being filtered out by small, highly partisan groups.
It’s often easier to stick to established narratives, group identifiers, and allies, or even make up new conspiracies than to be measured and nuanced. Something inflamatory and/or conspiratorial is more likely to hook into human brains, be amplified by engagement seeking algorithms, and, if it’s obscure but rapidly repeated, not have any better sources of information competing with it when people look up its key words.