In 2024, 4% of AI R&D tasks are automated; then 32% in 2026, and then singularity happens around when I expected, in mid 2028. This is close enough to what I had expected when I wrote the story that Iām tentatively making it canon.
Relatedly, what it your median time from now until human extinction? If it is only a few years, I would be happy to set up a bet like this one.
Hi Daniel,
Relatedly, what it your median time from now until human extinction? If it is only a few years, I would be happy to set up a bet like this one.