If you read the welfare range reportâs footnotes, youâll find that the 6.8% probability of sentience estimate for c elegans is driven substantially by my interpretation there that âprobably not sentientâ meant 10-35%, which was really just an off-the-cuff judgment. The other people whose views were included in that assessment gave under 1% or under 2% probabilities of sentience, and updating based on the proxies didnât budge the priors much. On reflection, I think lower numbers are more appropriate than 6.8%, and I really would not anchor on that as âRPâs own lightsâ.
I would say the probability of sentience of nematodes is higher than 6.8 %. From Andrews (2024):
Given the determinate development of their nervous systems, 30-some years ago it was taken as given that C. elegans are too simple to learn. However, once researchers turned to examine learning and memory in these tiny animals, they found an incredible amount of flexible behavior and sensitivity to experience. C. elegans have short-term and long-term memory, they can learn through habituation (Rankin et al., 1990), association (Wen et al., 1997), and imprinting (Remy & Hobert, 2005). They pass associative learning tasks using a variety of sensory modalities, including taste, smell, sensitivity to temperature, and sensitivity to oxygen (Ardiel & Rankin, 2010). They also integrate information from different sensory modalities, and respond differently to different levels of intoxicating substances, âsupport[ing] the view that worms can associate a physiological state with a specific experienceâ (Rankin, 2004, p. R618). There is also behavioral evidence that C. elegans engage in motivational trade-offs. These worms will flexibly choose to head through a noxious environment to gain access to a nutritious substance when hungry enough (Ghosh et al., 2016)âthough Birch and colleagues are not convinced this behavior satisfies the marker of motivational trade-offs because it appears that one reflex is merely inhibiting another (Birch et al., 2021, p. 31).
C. elegans are a model organism for the study of nociceptors, and much of what we now know about the mechanisms of nociception comes from studies on this species (Smith & Lewin, 2009). Behavioral responses to noxious stimuli are modulated by opiates, as demonstrated by a study finding that administration of morphine has a dose-dependent effect on the latency of response to heat (Pryor et al., 2007). And, perhaps surprisingly, when the nerve ring that comprises the C. elegans brain was recently mapped, researchers found that different regions of the brain support different circuits that route sensory information to another location where they are integrated, leading to action (Brittin et al., 2021).
Even if we grant the authorâs low confidence in nematodesâ having marker five (motivational trade-offs), current science provides ample confidence that nematodes have markers one (nociceptors), two (integrated brain regions), four (responsiveness to analgesics), and seven (sophisticated associative learning). Given high confidence that nematodes have even three of these markers, the reportâs methodology [Birch et al. (2021)] would have us conclude that there is âsubstantial evidenceâ of sentience in nematodes.
I would say the probability of sentience of nematodes is higher than 6.8 %. From Andrews (2024):