I think it would be clearer to put many of these under different categories than to lump everything under judgement. In my post I also cover the following, and try to sketch how they’re different:
Intelligence
Decision-making
Strategy
I should have maybe mentioned creativity as another category.
I also contrast ‘using judgement’ with alternatives like statistical analysis; applying best practice; quantitative models etc., though you might draw on these in making your judgement.
I think it would be clearer to put many of these under different categories than to lump everything under judgement. In my post I also cover the following, and try to sketch how they’re different:
Intelligence
Decision-making
Strategy
I should have maybe mentioned creativity as another category.
I also contrast ‘using judgement’ with alternatives like statistical analysis; applying best practice; quantitative models etc., though you might draw on these in making your judgement.
Thank Ben super useful.
@Linch I was taking a very very broad view of judgment.
Ben’s post is much better and breaks things done in a much nicer way.
I also made a (not particularly successful) stab at explaining some aspects of not-foresight driven judgement here: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/znaZXBY59Ln9SLrne/how-to-think-about-an-uncertain-future-lessons-from-other#Story_1__RAND_and_the_US_military