Thank you, these are some good points. When I made the question, I believed V-DEM had a more rigorous methodology, and I can’t change it now.
I don’t think the specific probability is necessary for my argument (and it depends on how one defines ‘liberal democracy’): a Trump presidency with an enabling Supreme Court would be very harmful to US liberal democracy and the rule of law, and a nationalized AGI project under such a government would be very risky.
Thank you, these are some good points. When I made the question, I believed V-DEM had a more rigorous methodology, and I can’t change it now.
I don’t think the specific probability is necessary for my argument (and it depends on how one defines ‘liberal democracy’): a Trump presidency with an enabling Supreme Court would be very harmful to US liberal democracy and the rule of law, and a nationalized AGI project under such a government would be very risky.