I didn’t downvote. The negative component of the impression I got is it seems vaguely rude to my model of neartermists, and the first paragraph doesn’t quite seem to be true even if the most impact is produced by longtermists, because people could have bad epistemics or different morals and still be smart and dedicated. Also it should be out of scope of this discussion.
Also, even if most of the impact is produced by longtermists, people working in global health or animal welfare are often like 60% of the way there epistemically compared to the average person, and from a longtermist perspective the reason why they aren’t producing much impact is just that reality is unfair and effectiveness is a conjunction of multipliers.
I didn’t downvote. The negative component of the impression I got is it seems vaguely rude to my model of neartermists, and the first paragraph doesn’t quite seem to be true even if the most impact is produced by longtermists, because people could have bad epistemics or different morals and still be smart and dedicated. Also it should be out of scope of this discussion.
Also, even if most of the impact is produced by longtermists, people working in global health or animal welfare are often like 60% of the way there epistemically compared to the average person, and from a longtermist perspective the reason why they aren’t producing much impact is just that reality is unfair and effectiveness is a conjunction of multipliers.