Theories of consciousness will lead to actionable understanding of AI consciousness²
In the next 2 years maybe, but even if so those theories of consciousness may be developed by AI after it’s already in a dominant position or the process of developing AI may be what causes us to develop better theories of consciousness. So I don’t expect this being true necessarily entails the things one might naively expect. Also it seems possible that this happens, but then just ends up being much less impressive or broadly useful/applicable than expected. Upon reflection I actually think the scenario where this being true ends up being super underwhelming is actually by far the most likely one within the next 2 years. After all consider how many other things when it’s come to AI have seemed to follow the trend of happening, but in a way that was less impressive than people were generally imagining.
In the next 2 years maybe, but even if so those theories of consciousness may be developed by AI after it’s already in a dominant position or the process of developing AI may be what causes us to develop better theories of consciousness. So I don’t expect this being true necessarily entails the things one might naively expect. Also it seems possible that this happens, but then just ends up being much less impressive or broadly useful/applicable than expected. Upon reflection I actually think the scenario where this being true ends up being super underwhelming is actually by far the most likely one within the next 2 years. After all consider how many other things when it’s come to AI have seemed to follow the trend of happening, but in a way that was less impressive than people were generally imagining.