That being said, I don’t think an Iran-Israel exchange would constitute an existential risk, unless it then triggered a global nuclear war.
I wouldn’t sell yourself short. IMO, any nuclear exchange would dramatically increase the probability of a global nuclear war, even if the probability is still small by non-xrisk standards.
I wouldn’t sell yourself short. IMO, any nuclear exchange would dramatically increase the probability of a global nuclear war, even if the probability is still small by non-xrisk standards.