Take the numbers from Berstein et al—they’re patently ridiculous!
Sidenote. I would not be surprised if their numbers are very off, but I think it is better to avoid terms like “ridiculous”, which are confrontational, and therefore can make thinking clearly more difficult.
Thanks for the comment!
I took Millett & Snyder-Beattie 2017′s and Bernstein et. al 2022′s numbers at face value, but they are far from rigorous estimates, and I would agree better modelling is needed.
Sidenote. I would not be surprised if their numbers are very off, but I think it is better to avoid terms like “ridiculous”, which are confrontational, and therefore can make thinking clearly more difficult.