For what it’s worth, I currently think the solution requires modelling the Earth as a complex system, clarifying top-level metrics to optimise the system for, and a probability weighted theory of change for the system as a whole.
I’d be interested in seeing this. Do you have anything written up?
Parts 3 and 5 of the article linked below explain this approach is more detail, although my thinking has moved on a bit since writing this.
There’s a good chance that these ideas will be refined and written up collaborative in an applied context as part of GeM Labs’ Understanding and Optimising Policy project over the next year. If they are out of scope of this project, I intend to develop them independently and share my progress.
I’d be interested in seeing this. Do you have anything written up?
Parts 3 and 5 of the article linked below explain this approach is more detail, although my thinking has moved on a bit since writing this.
There’s a good chance that these ideas will be refined and written up collaborative in an applied context as part of GeM Labs’ Understanding and Optimising Policy project over the next year. If they are out of scope of this project, I intend to develop them independently and share my progress.
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1DFZ9OAb0g5dtQuZHbAfngwACQkgSpjqrpWWOeMrsq7o/edit?usp=sharing