I agree that this is hard with available data. I guess we could try to look at donation data e.g. from here or responses to this post and see how well it matches what people collectively voted for (ideally weighted by ~Forum engagement), but both groups are probably pretty different from the voting group (and the second group is small). A lot of comments on why people voted the way they did also noted something about why they’re donating to the candidates they voted for (but definitely not all comments).
Also:
A lot of people probably donated to charities or projects that weren’t candidates (including me, although I did also donate to something I think I gave some points to)
There are ~strategic reasons for voting for charities you aren’t donating to (e.g. it’s not clear (to me) if you should split donations or how much, but if you’ve thought a fair bit about different candidates, you probably want to give points to multiple candidates)
I agree that this is hard with available data. I guess we could try to look at donation data e.g. from here or responses to this post and see how well it matches what people collectively voted for (ideally weighted by ~Forum engagement), but both groups are probably pretty different from the voting group (and the second group is small). A lot of comments on why people voted the way they did also noted something about why they’re donating to the candidates they voted for (but definitely not all comments).
Also:
A lot of people probably donated to charities or projects that weren’t candidates (including me, although I did also donate to something I think I gave some points to)
There are ~strategic reasons for voting for charities you aren’t donating to (e.g. it’s not clear (to me) if you should split donations or how much, but if you’ve thought a fair bit about different candidates, you probably want to give points to multiple candidates)