Iād still be worried about donations to these things generally growing the AW ecosystem as a side effect (e.g. due to fungibility of donations, training up people who then do work with more suffering-focused assumptions)
Without more information, I would guess that funding work on improving rather than decreasing animal lives will at the margin incentivises people to follow the funding, and therefore skill up to work on improving rather than decreasing animal lives.
I am sufficiently sceptical to put a low weight on the other 11 models (or at least withhold judgement until Iāve thought it through more). As I mentioned Iām writing a post Iām hoping to publish this week with at least one argument related to this.
I am looking forward to the post. Thanks for sharing the gist and some details. You may want to share a draft with people from Rethink Priorities.
To me neither of these lines of evidence (ābrain structural similarityā and ābehavioural similarityā) seems obviously deserving of more weight.
Without more information, I would guess that funding work on improving rather than decreasing animal lives will at the margin incentivises people to follow the funding, and therefore skill up to work on improving rather than decreasing animal lives.
I am looking forward to the post. Thanks for sharing the gist and some details. You may want to share a draft with people from Rethink Priorities.
I find it hard to come up with other proxies.