For example, there is wide elite/expert agreement that more CO2 in the atmosphere is bad. We do not have that for the extinction of humanity due to AI.
We don’t need to believe that AI will lead to human extinction to advocate for a moratorium on AI development. Karnofsky outlines a number of ways in which TAI could lead to global catastrophe here; and this 2021 survey of 44 AI risk researchers found the median estimate of existential risk was 32.5%. The risk from AI is a huge problem.
There also have been many protests against fossil fuel already, so additional protest is less likely to cause serious downsides or set the tone for future attempts to solve the problem.
Do you think that climate protest is more harmful than helpful when it comes to solving the climate crisis?
The nature of the problem is also different: incompetent political solutions to solve global warming often still help reduce CO2 somewhat, but the same might not be true for AI Notkilleveryoneism.
This is a good point – but that’s an argument for competent political solutions, not no political solutions (which is roughly what we have at the moment I think?).
I am not sure whether “direct action” (imo a terrible name btw if the theory of change is indirect) against AI would be a good idea but lean against it currently.
We don’t need to believe that AI will lead to human extinction to advocate for a moratorium on AI development. Karnofsky outlines a number of ways in which TAI could lead to global catastrophe here; and this 2021 survey of 44 AI risk researchers found the median estimate of existential risk was 32.5%. The risk from AI is a huge problem.
Do you think that climate protest is more harmful than helpful when it comes to solving the climate crisis?
This is a good point – but that’s an argument for competent political solutions, not no political solutions (which is roughly what we have at the moment I think?).
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