as noted in Nuño’s comment this comparison holds little weight when the questions aren’t the same or on the same time scales
Right, definitely, I forgot to add this. I wasn’t trying to say that Forecast is more accurate than real-money prediction markets (or other forecasting platforms for that matter) but rather that Forecasts’ forecasting accuracy is at least clearly above the this-is-silly level.
Right, definitely, I forgot to add this. I wasn’t trying to say that Forecast is more accurate than real-money prediction markets (or other forecasting platforms for that matter) but rather that Forecasts’ forecasting accuracy is at least clearly above the this-is-silly level.