Not sure if I think it would require that many more resources. I was surprised that Metaculus’ AI forecasting tournament was featured on Forbes the other day with “only” $50k in prizes. Also, from the point of view of a participant, the EA groups forecasting tournament seemed to go really well and introduced at least 6 people I know of into more serious forecasting (being run by volunteers with prizes in form of $500 donation money).
Yeah, I guess I was thinking about introducing millions of people to forecasting. But yeah, forecasting tournaments are a great idea.
I agree that a forecasting Coursera course is promising and much more realistic.
Yeah, I guess I was thinking about introducing millions of people to forecasting. But yeah, forecasting tournaments are a great idea.
I agree that a forecasting Coursera course is promising and much more realistic.