Also, I think one can become better at forecasting on one’s own? (I think most people get better calibrated when they do calibration exercises on their own—they don’t need to watch other people do it.)
You also get feedback in form of the community median prediction on Metaculus and GJOpen, which in my experience is usually useful as feedback. Though I do think in general following the reasoning of competent individuals is very useful, but I think the comments and helpful people that enjoy teaching their skills do a solid job covering that.
You also get feedback in form of the community median prediction on Metaculus and GJOpen, which in my experience is usually useful as feedback. Though I do think in general following the reasoning of competent individuals is very useful, but I think the comments and helpful people that enjoy teaching their skills do a solid job covering that.