would excited to hear takes from people working at social media companies.
Yeah, me too. For what it’s worth, Forecast mentions our post here.
On (a), I think forecasting accuracy and the qualities it’s a proxy for represent a small subset of the space that determines which content I’d like to see promoted
Yeah, as we discuss in this section, forecasting accuracy is surely not the most important thing. If it were up to me, I’d focus on spreading (sophisticated) content on, say, effective altruism, AI safety, and so on. Of course, most people would never agree with this. In contrast, forecasting is perhaps something almost everyone can get behind and is also objectively measurable.
I agree that the concerns you list under (b) need to be addressed.
Thanks, great points!
Yeah, me too. For what it’s worth, Forecast mentions our post here.
Yeah, as we discuss in this section, forecasting accuracy is surely not the most important thing. If it were up to me, I’d focus on spreading (sophisticated) content on, say, effective altruism, AI safety, and so on. Of course, most people would never agree with this. In contrast, forecasting is perhaps something almost everyone can get behind and is also objectively measurable.
I agree that the concerns you list under (b) need to be addressed.