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WilliamKiely comments on
Comments for shorter Cold Takes pieces
WilliamKiely
23 Dec 2021 18:48 UTC
2
points
0 ∶ 0
Elicit Prediction (
Will Holden win his bet with Zvi (conditional on the “push” scenario not happening)?
)
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90%
Will Holden win his bet with Zvi?
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90%
Will Zvi win his bet with Holden?
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Will Holden and Zvi's Omicron bet resolve ambiguously?
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WilliamKiely comments on Comments for shorter Cold Takes pieces