I am interested to form a better view of EA community growth/contraction and was wondering whether there are any models/forecasts on this?
I extrapolated from past trends (e.g. funding and job placement data) but this seems a poor method given the events of the last months, so I am wondering if better attempts exist. Until now I only found scattered comments on plausible effects from the events but no integration attempt.
[Question] Are there models/forecasts of community growth (or lack thereof)?
I am interested to form a better view of EA community growth/contraction and was wondering whether there are any models/forecasts on this?
I extrapolated from past trends (e.g. funding and job placement data) but this seems a poor method given the events of the last months, so I am wondering if better attempts exist. Until now I only found scattered comments on plausible effects from the events but no integration attempt.
Not community growth per se, but I asked a similar question about community health that got some interesting answers: What are some measurable proxies for community health?
Thanks for that, Michel! Did you implement any of the suggestions?
Sadly not, but would love to see someone take them on.