Here are the figures from Ben’s poll so anyone can refer to them:
″ how many folks have held off donating to GWWC in order to see whether their fundraiser hits its goal without their donations (so that their donation would have been replaceable/had no counterfactual impact)? ”
I donated 0 (0%)
I refrained from donating PRIMARILY for the above reason 1 (3%)
I refrained from donating AT LEAST IN PART for the above reason 13 (45%)
The above reason didn’t affect my decision at all 15 (52%)
And here are the figures from my poll with a fuller set of options:
I donated money that’d otherwise have gone to direct support of the global poor 0 (0%)
I donated money that’d otherwise have gone to help others 0 (0%)
I donated money that wouldn’t have otherwise have gone to help anyone else (e.g. I’d have spent it on myself) 1 (8%)
My main reason for not donating was the thought that my donation wouldn’t raise GWWC’s counterfactual spending 0 (0%)
My main reason for not donating was not being sufficiently convinced that increasing GWWC’s spending would do the most good 12 (92%)
I thought donating would raise GWWC’s counterfactual spending and this would do the most good, but nonetheless didn’t donate 0 (0%)
Of course these polls aren’t fully comparable, as saying “I refrained from donating AT LEAST IN PART for the above reason” means only that you think it’s one reason for not donating, and
as ‘Larks’ points out there are two possible ways of cashing out “My main reason for not donating was the thought that my donation wouldn’t raise GWWC’s counterfactual spending”:
My donation would cause others to donate less
My donation would cause CEA central to transfer resources away from GWWC
but only one of these is what Ben was talking about.
Here are the figures from Ben’s poll so anyone can refer to them:
″ how many folks have held off donating to GWWC in order to see whether their fundraiser hits its goal without their donations (so that their donation would have been replaceable/had no counterfactual impact)? ”
I donated 0 (0%)
I refrained from donating PRIMARILY for the above reason 1 (3%)
I refrained from donating AT LEAST IN PART for the above reason 13 (45%)
The above reason didn’t affect my decision at all 15 (52%)
And here are the figures from my poll with a fuller set of options:
I donated money that’d otherwise have gone to direct support of the global poor 0 (0%)
I donated money that’d otherwise have gone to help others 0 (0%)
I donated money that wouldn’t have otherwise have gone to help anyone else (e.g. I’d have spent it on myself) 1 (8%)
My main reason for not donating was the thought that my donation wouldn’t raise GWWC’s counterfactual spending 0 (0%)
My main reason for not donating was not being sufficiently convinced that increasing GWWC’s spending would do the most good 12 (92%)
I thought donating would raise GWWC’s counterfactual spending and this would do the most good, but nonetheless didn’t donate 0 (0%)
Of course these polls aren’t fully comparable, as saying “I refrained from donating AT LEAST IN PART for the above reason” means only that you think it’s one reason for not donating, and as ‘Larks’ points out there are two possible ways of cashing out “My main reason for not donating was the thought that my donation wouldn’t raise GWWC’s counterfactual spending”:
My donation would cause others to donate less
My donation would cause CEA central to transfer resources away from GWWC but only one of these is what Ben was talking about.
Thanks for this! Do you know how many respondents there were for each poll?
Looks like 1+13+15 = 29 for Ben’s and 1+12 = 13 for Nekoinentr’s.