Mike Berkowitz and Ezra Klein (both have been on 80k) arguing for why US democracy is at risk and why it could be one of the most impactful things for EA to address. This is a position not popular with American EAs (including amongst some of the EAs that were at the helm of the SBF political operation—very consequential to EAs net political effect). I’m sure you could find some qualifed EAs to take the counter position.
To give a little context of the severity we are talking about: Berkowitz (as of July last year) thought there was a 50-50 chance of US democracy failing in the next 6 years.
Just read the comment about not necessarily being famous EAs. I would also be willing to debate in favor of the position that US democracy faces a serious chance (~50%) of destabilizing, and that the probability and severity of consequences necessitate that EA treat it as a major X-factor.
Here is piece I wrote arguing that position (i have an unpublished one roughly twice the length)
I really like delving into neglected ideas and it’s the first time I’ve seen this one put quite so succinctly. It would absolutely be a topic I would hear more about. I’m going to read your post now.
Mike Berkowitz and Ezra Klein (both have been on 80k) arguing for why US democracy is at risk and why it could be one of the most impactful things for EA to address. This is a position not popular with American EAs (including amongst some of the EAs that were at the helm of the SBF political operation—very consequential to EAs net political effect). I’m sure you could find some qualifed EAs to take the counter position.
To give a little context of the severity we are talking about: Berkowitz (as of July last year) thought there was a 50-50 chance of US democracy failing in the next 6 years.
Just read the comment about not necessarily being famous EAs. I would also be willing to debate in favor of the position that US democracy faces a serious chance (~50%) of destabilizing, and that the probability and severity of consequences necessitate that EA treat it as a major X-factor.
Here is piece I wrote arguing that position (i have an unpublished one roughly twice the length)
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/5Yk6MczhaeWiDCcv6/the-top-x-factor-ea-neglects-destabilization-of-the-united
I really like delving into neglected ideas and it’s the first time I’ve seen this one put quite so succinctly. It would absolutely be a topic I would hear more about. I’m going to read your post now.