According to a survey of quantitative predictions, disappointing futures appear roughly as likely as existential catastrophes. [More]
It looks like that Bostrom and Ord included risks of disappointing futures in their estimates on x-risks, which might make this conclusion a bit skewed, don’t you think?
Thank you for writing this.
It looks like that Bostrom and Ord included risks of disappointing futures in their estimates on x-risks, which might make this conclusion a bit skewed, don’t you think?