I really don’t want to draw too much from that because there was a lot of stuff going on there, but I do want to stress that the data you have is way way too weak to draw any meaningful conclusion. You really should just stick with your priors here until you have much more data.
the data you have is way way too weak to draw any meaningful conclusion. You really should just stick with your priors here until you have much more data.
This. (Stressing it as an epistemic principle that’s under-applied within EA.)
Note that Denise and I ran a match with a much higher $/​person and wrote about it on the forum.
http://​​effective-altruism.com/​​ea/​​ex/​​what_we_learned_from_our_donation_match/​​
I really don’t want to draw too much from that because there was a lot of stuff going on there, but I do want to stress that the data you have is way way too weak to draw any meaningful conclusion. You really should just stick with your priors here until you have much more data.
This. (Stressing it as an epistemic principle that’s under-applied within EA.)