Events which are possible may still have zero probability, see “Almost never” on this Wikipedia page. That being said I think I still might object even if it was ϵ-optimal (within some small number ϵ>0 of achieving the mathematically optimal future) unless this could be meaningfully justified somehow.
In terms of cardinal utility? I think drawing any line in the sand has problems when things are continuous because it falls right into a slippery slope (if ϵ doesn’t make a real difference, what about drawing the line at 2ϵ, and then what about 3ϵ?).
But I think of our actions as discrete. Even if we design a system with some continuous parameter, the actual implementation of that system is going to be in discrete human actions. So I don’t think we can get arbitrarily small differences in utility. Then maximalism (i.e. going for only ideal outcomes) makes sense when it comes to designing long-lasting institutions, since the small (but non-infinitesimal) differences add up across many people and over a long time.
I think he’s saying “optimal future = best possible future”, which necessarily has a non-zero probability.
Events which are possible may still have zero probability, see “Almost never” on this Wikipedia page. That being said I think I still might object even if it was ϵ-optimal (within some small number ϵ>0 of achieving the mathematically optimal future) unless this could be meaningfully justified somehow.
In terms of cardinal utility? I think drawing any line in the sand has problems when things are continuous because it falls right into a slippery slope (if ϵ doesn’t make a real difference, what about drawing the line at 2ϵ, and then what about 3ϵ?).
But I think of our actions as discrete. Even if we design a system with some continuous parameter, the actual implementation of that system is going to be in discrete human actions. So I don’t think we can get arbitrarily small differences in utility. Then maximalism (i.e. going for only ideal outcomes) makes sense when it comes to designing long-lasting institutions, since the small (but non-infinitesimal) differences add up across many people and over a long time.