The strait path; high P(doom) as very dangerous territory, (climbing up a Precipice?), Scylla and Charybdis
Stopping and smelling the roses
Traction/tractability (can your vehicle get a footing?)
The road less traveled by / Neglectedness. Following wellworn roads (convergently instrumental optionality) vs hacking into the jungle, reasoning from first principles, creating a map from scratch.
Dealing with the optimizer’s curse would be like… avoiding very high peaks even if you think you can climb it?
Avoiding getting stuck in deep potholes/valleys makes sense.
Viatopia fits well into this
Spaceship Earth as a navigational metaphor. Strategic Command / Mission Control vibes
How did I miss tractability?!? Such a good addition. Seems like I did not see the forest for the trees...
Neglectedness also seems so obvious! Seems easier to pick low-hanging fruits when there haven’t been too many travellers on your road before...
The Optimizer’s Curse is a really nice addition too. I wouldn’t say you should avoid those peaks though. Rather: be skeptical of outliers in the terrain and prefer broad mountains over needle-like peaks, esp. when it’s foggy.
Riffing:
The strait path; high P(doom) as very dangerous territory, (climbing up a Precipice?), Scylla and Charybdis
Stopping and smelling the roses
Traction/tractability (can your vehicle get a footing?)
The road less traveled by / Neglectedness. Following wellworn roads (convergently instrumental optionality) vs hacking into the jungle, reasoning from first principles, creating a map from scratch.
Dealing with the optimizer’s curse would be like… avoiding very high peaks even if you think you can climb it?
Avoiding getting stuck in deep potholes/valleys makes sense.
Viatopia fits well into this
Spaceship Earth as a navigational metaphor. Strategic Command / Mission Control vibes
How far are we going?
I love it, thanks for playing along!
How did I miss tractability?!? Such a good addition. Seems like I did not see the forest for the trees...
Neglectedness also seems so obvious! Seems easier to pick low-hanging fruits when there haven’t been too many travellers on your road before...
The Optimizer’s Curse is a really nice addition too. I wouldn’t say you should avoid those peaks though. Rather: be skeptical of outliers in the terrain and prefer broad mountains over needle-like peaks, esp. when it’s foggy.