Charlie_Guthmann comments on Uncorrelated Bets: an easy to understand and very important decision theory consideration, which helps tease out nonobvious but productive criticism of the EA movement

[Charlie_Guthmann]

Good point

one might counter by saying the majority of decisions EAs make affect the reputation of ea which can then be used later. Though I doubt most org’s cost benefits are including the movements reputation change.

Also maybe there is some mechanism like the world getting better on certain dimensions unlocks ea paths that didn’t exist before. But in most cases this doesn’t seem super plausible.