On the other hand, it is much easier to scale even short periods of excruciating suffering with high numbers of animals, especially when youâre happy to consider ~8 million mosquitos killed per human life saved by a bednetâI donât have empirical evidence to the contrary, but this seems wildly high.
Great point! It makes sense that harm is proportional to the number of individuals holding the pain caused to each individual constant. So my numbers would only be off if there was a reason to think mosquitoes cannot experience excruciating pain for as much time as humans.
This means it requires approximately 100 bednets over the course of 1 year to save 1 life/â~50 DALYs.
âGW calculates a cost per distributed net and life saved of 6.78 $ and 5.10 k$ [in DRC]. These imply AMF has to distribute 752 nets [= 5.10*10^3/â6.78] to save a life in DRCâ.
At your preferred rate of 1 mosquito death per hour per net[1] this comes to approximately 880,000 mosquito deaths per life saved,[2] which is 3 OOMs lower than the ~8 million you would reach if you do the âexcruciating painâ calculation, assuming your 763x claim is correct.[3]
There are 2 issues here:
880 k is 1 order of magniture lower than 8 M, not 3.
I got 7.91 M (= 1*24*365.25*1.20*752) with the 1st approach, which practically matches the 8 M you got with the 2nd approach, multiplying:
1 mosquito killed per net-hour.
24 net-hours per net-day.
365.25 net-days per net-year.
1.20 net-years per net in DRC, as estimated by GW.
752 nets per life saved in DRC, as estimated by GW (see above).
So I think it would be better if you edited the claim below you make at the start of your 1st comment in this thread.
I think you are probably at least a few OOMs off with these figures, even granting most of your assumptions, as this implies (iiuc) ~8 million mosquito deaths per human death averted.
I do not think you uncovered any errors in my calculations.
Great point! It makes sense that harm is proportional to the number of individuals holding the pain caused to each individual constant. So my numbers would only be off if there was a reason to think mosquitoes cannot experience excruciating pain for as much time as humans.
âGW calculates a cost per distributed net and life saved of 6.78 $ and 5.10 k$ [in DRC]. These imply AMF has to distribute 752 nets [= 5.10*10^3/â6.78] to save a life in DRCâ.
There are 2 issues here:
880 k is 1 order of magniture lower than 8 M, not 3.
I got 7.91 M (= 1*24*365.25*1.20*752) with the 1st approach, which practically matches the 8 M you got with the 2nd approach, multiplying:
1 mosquito killed per net-hour.
24 net-hours per net-day.
365.25 net-days per net-year.
1.20 net-years per net in DRC, as estimated by GW.
752 nets per life saved in DRC, as estimated by GW (see above).
So I think it would be better if you edited the claim below you make at the start of your 1st comment in this thread.
I do not think you uncovered any errors in my calculations.