No worries! I’ve enjoyed our exchange as well—your latest response is both creative and funny. In particular, when I read “They have read your blog post on the EA forum and decide to flip a coin”, I literally laughed out loud (haha). It’s been a pleasure : ) If you change your mind and decide to reply, definitely feel welcome to.
Btw, for the benefit of first-time readers, I’ve updated a portion of my very first response in order to provide more color on something that I originally wrote. In good faith, I’ve also kept in the response what I originally wrote. Just wanted to let you know. Now onto my response.
You write, “In the donor case, Bob had a condition where he was in the minority; more often in his life, however, he will find himself in cases where he is in the majority (e.g., hospital case, loan case). And so over a whole lifetime of decisions to be made, Bob is much more likely to benefit from the veil-of-ignorance-type approach.”
This would be true if Bob has an equal chance of being in any of the positions of a given future trade off situation. That is, Bob would have a higher chance of being in the majority in any given future trade off situation if Bob has an equal chance of being in any of the positions of a given trade off situation. Importantly, just because there is more positions on the majority side of a trade off situation, that does not automatically mean that Bob has a higher chance of being among the majority. His probably or chance of being in each of the positions is crucial. I think you were implicitly assuming that Bob has an equal chance of being in any of the positions of a future trade off situation because he doesn’t know his future. But, as I mentioned in my previous post, it would be a mistake to conclude, from a lack of knowledge about one’s position, that one has an equal chance of being in any one’s position. So, just because Bob doesn’t know anything about his future, it does not mean that he has an equal chance of being in any of the positions in the future trade off situations that he is involved in.
In my original first response to you, I very briefly explained why I think people in general do not have an equal chance of being in anybody’s position. I have sense expanded that explanation. If what I say there is right, then it is not true that “over a whole lifetime of decisions to be made, Bob [or anyone else] is much more likely to benefit from the veil-of-ignorance-type approach [than the equal-chance approach].”
All the best!