I thought “taking tail risks seriously” was kinda an EA thing...? In particular, we all agree that there probably won’t be a coup or civil war in the USA in early 2021, but is it 1% likely? 0.001% likely? I won’t try to guess, but it sure feels higher after I read that link (including the Vox interview) … and plausibly high enough to warrant serious thought and contingency planning.
At least, that’s what I got out of it. I gave it a bit of thought and decided that I’m not in a position that I can or should do anything about it, but I imagine that some readers might have an angle of attack, especially given that it’s still 6 months out.