You say no to “Is there a high chance that human population completely collapses as a result of less than 90% of the population being wiped out in a global catastrophe?” and say “2) Most of these collapse scenarios would be temporary, with complete recovery likely on the scale of decades to a couple hundred years.”
I feel like I’d much better understand what you mean if you were up for giving some probabilities here even if there’s a range or they’re imprecise or unstable. There’s a really big range within “likely” and I’d like some sense of where you are on that range.
You say no to “Is there a high chance that human population completely collapses as a result of less than 90% of the population being wiped out in a global catastrophe?” and say “2) Most of these collapse scenarios would be temporary, with complete recovery likely on the scale of decades to a couple hundred years.”
I feel like I’d much better understand what you mean if you were up for giving some probabilities here even if there’s a range or they’re imprecise or unstable. There’s a really big range within “likely” and I’d like some sense of where you are on that range.