My model here is mostly that whatever allowed CFAR to have a historical impact did not break, and so will continue producing value of the same type.
Perhaps a crux here is whether whatever mechanism historically drove CFAR’s impact has already broken or not. (Just flagging, doesn’t seem important to resolve this now.)
Yeah, that’s what I intended to say. “In the world where I come to the above opinion, I expect my crux will have been that whatever made CFAR historically work, is still working”
This is super helpful, thanks!
Perhaps a crux here is whether whatever mechanism historically drove CFAR’s impact has already broken or not. (Just flagging, doesn’t seem important to resolve this now.)
Yeah, that’s what I intended to say. “In the world where I come to the above opinion, I expect my crux will have been that whatever made CFAR historically work, is still working”