There are many ways to reduce existential risk. I don’t see any good reason to think that reducing small chances of extinction events is better EV than reducing higher chances of smaller catastrophes, or even just building human capacity in preferentially non-destructive way. The arguments that we should focus on extinction have always boiled down to ‘it’s simpler to think about’.
There are many ways to reduce existential risk. I don’t see any good reason to think that reducing small chances of extinction events is better EV than reducing higher chances of smaller catastrophes, or even just building human capacity in preferentially non-destructive way. The arguments that we should focus on extinction have always boiled down to ‘it’s simpler to think about’.