What would that add? I think that would add speculation on to what is already speculation, and I’d think only the passing of time would be able to give feedback on whether the predictions turn out to be true.
I guess it could give more information, if you sought out different people for the meta-predictions, than had made the original predictions. But then I’m not sure why you wouldn’t just have these new people do the original prediction questions directly.
What would that add? I think that would add speculation on to what is already speculation, and I’d think only the passing of time would be able to give feedback on whether the predictions turn out to be true.
I guess it could give more information, if you sought out different people for the meta-predictions, than had made the original predictions. But then I’m not sure why you wouldn’t just have these new people do the original prediction questions directly.