This is the post I most often refer to when talking about donating now versus investing to donate later. It provides a good summary of the main considerations and is accessible for non-expert donors. Having a back of the envelope model with real numbers is also really great.
Individual non-expert donors can defer to experts to decide where to donate by using charity evaluators and the EA Funds. But the question when to donate they have to make mostly themselves (except maybe in case of the Patient Philanthropy Fund).
Suggestions for follow-up posts.
updating the Guesstimate model upon new insight.
a better estimate of the exogenous learning rate
what is the effect of AI timelines
what is the effect of the growing amount of funding in EA
how does the investing versus giving question differ per cause area? It would be great to see a breakdown of this analysis for specific causes like global health, climate change, animal welfare, etc.
Some research has already been done on these questions. Having the findings written up in an accessible way for non-expert donors would be really useful.
Hi Imma, thanks for your comments, and happy to hear this post has been useful for you! The research project behind it actually resulted in this report, which also tackles some of your follow-up suggestions :). I’ll make sure this is edited in at the top of the post, so people can more easily find it.
This is the post I most often refer to when talking about donating now versus investing to donate later. It provides a good summary of the main considerations and is accessible for non-expert donors. Having a back of the envelope model with real numbers is also really great.
Individual non-expert donors can defer to experts to decide where to donate by using charity evaluators and the EA Funds. But the question when to donate they have to make mostly themselves (except maybe in case of the Patient Philanthropy Fund).
Suggestions for follow-up posts.
updating the Guesstimate model upon new insight.
a better estimate of the exogenous learning rate
what is the effect of AI timelines
what is the effect of the growing amount of funding in EA
how does the investing versus giving question differ per cause area? It would be great to see a breakdown of this analysis for specific causes like global health, climate change, animal welfare, etc.
Some research has already been done on these questions. Having the findings written up in an accessible way for non-expert donors would be really useful.
Hi Imma, thanks for your comments, and happy to hear this post has been useful for you! The research project behind it actually resulted in this report, which also tackles some of your follow-up suggestions :). I’ll make sure this is edited in at the top of the post, so people can more easily find it.