That’s a great point on disagreement on the effectiveness of the interventions themselves (rather than the investments). I’m not really sure how to think about that. I think we do already have a process for figuring out the allocation by hedging against other people’s “intervention portfolios” in the same way as is suggested for investment portfolios below.
For example, if I think LTFF is overemphasizing ai-risk, I can directly donate or offer to fund bio-risk, instead of donating via LTFF.
That’s a great point on disagreement on the effectiveness of the interventions themselves (rather than the investments). I’m not really sure how to think about that. I think we do already have a process for figuring out the allocation by hedging against other people’s “intervention portfolios” in the same way as is suggested for investment portfolios below.
For example, if I think LTFF is overemphasizing ai-risk, I can directly donate or offer to fund bio-risk, instead of donating via LTFF.