the real world has secret information, way more possible strategies, the potential for technological advancements, defections and betrayal, etc. which all favor the more intelligent party.
Also, consider that the AI has ingested ~all the world’s information. That, to me, sounds like a huge resource advantage; a huge strategic advantage—it’s not just more intelligent, it’s more knowledgeable.
It’s somewhat hard to outthink a missile headed for your server farm at 800 km/h.
This actually made me think of the AI launching the missile, and the humans not having time to think (see this or this). The AI will have a huge speed advantage over us—we will basically be like plants or rocks to it.
if you do think the AGI would win, you have to actually prove it
What would count as “proof” to you, short of an actual global catastrophe?
As you recognise yourself in your linked post:
Also, consider that the AI has ingested ~all the world’s information. That, to me, sounds like a huge resource advantage; a huge strategic advantage—it’s not just more intelligent, it’s more knowledgeable.
This actually made me think of the AI launching the missile, and the humans not having time to think (see this or this). The AI will have a huge speed advantage over us—we will basically be like plants or rocks to it.
What would count as “proof” to you, short of an actual global catastrophe?