I don’t think it’s strong evidence, for what it’s worth. I’m also not sure what “AI takeover” means, and I think existing definitions are very ambiguous (would we say Europe took over the world during the age of imperialism? Are smart people currently in control of the world? Have politicians, as a class, taken over the world?). Depending on the definition, I tend to think that AI takeover is either ~inevitable and not inherently bad, or bad but not particularly likely.
By “AI takeover”, I mean autonomous AI coup/revolution. E.g., violating the law and/or subverting the normal mechanisms of power transfer. (Somewhat unclear exactly what should count tbc, but there are some central examples.) By this definition, it basically always involves subverting the intentions of the creators of the AI, though may not involve violent conflict.
I don’t think this is super likely, perhaps 25% chance.
By “AI takeover”, I mean autonomous AI coup/revolution. E.g., violating the law and/or subverting the normal mechanisms of power transfer. (Somewhat unclear exactly what should count tbc, but there are some central examples.) By this definition, it basically always involves subverting the intentions of the creators of the AI, though may not involve violent conflict.
I don’t think this is super likely, perhaps 25% chance.