For comparison, this analysis finds a 0.4% yearly risk, which is in line with the EA survey and other estimates I’ve seen, so I’m strongly inclined to think that the 0.1%-1% order of magnitude is the correct place to be.
For comparison, this analysis finds a 0.4% yearly risk, which is in line with the EA survey and other estimates I’ve seen, so I’m strongly inclined to think that the 0.1%-1% order of magnitude is the correct place to be.